Review by Choice Review
Edited by James E. Campbell (SUNY-Buffalo) and James C. Gerand (Louisiana State Univ.), this is the most significant treatment of election forecasting since the publication of Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice's Forecasting Elections in 1992. The book is a compilation of articles on election forecasting that first appeared prior to the 1996 elections in a special issue of American Politics Quarterly, a leading journal in the subfield of American politics. The first eight chapters, written by leading scholars in the field, are the forecasts of the 1996 election. The authors were given the opportunity to conduct further analysis and evaluate their original forecasts in a section titled "After the 1996 Election." The last two chapters look more broadly at issues such as the inclusion of uncertainty in forecasting models and the contribution of election forecasting to political science in general. The combination of original preelection forecasts with postelection evaluation, as well as the broader discipline discussion, makes this an excellent addition for graduate students and faculty interested in campaigns and elections or political methodology. Q. Kidd; Christopher Newport University
Copyright American Library Association, used with permission.